Forutsigelse av kamp: 1WIN - sAw | Counter-Strike (CS2)

As part of one of the matches of the group stage of ESL Challenger League Season 42 Europe, 1WIN will compete against SAW in order to compete for the opportunity to get the first victory and fight for the playoffs. The situation with 1WiN is more interesting than what we could see in the forze vs 9INE match prediction, as there is more ambiguity here.

Experts from bookmakers consider 1WIN to be the favorite to win, but they also cannot call it explicit. The odds for winning 1WIN is 1.60, which equates to a 58% chance of winning. The advantage is not too big, and for this reason I propose to take a closer look at the game form of each of the teams in order to understand whether it would be right to bet on the favorite in this case.

Game form 1WIN

1WIN is a Russian team that was completed at the end of June with the arrival of Alexander 'glowiing' Matsievich. At the moment, the team is in 41st place in the list of the best CS:GO rosters according to the HLTV portal. By the way, ex-player of Natus Vincere Egor 'flamie' Vasilev plays in the roster.

The team played 9 matches in August and they showed that the team is not in the best shape now. Only 5 out of 9 matches ended in victory for 1WIN. The team was able to win against GRGECHI, Forward Gaming, 9 Pandas, premghouls and, most interestingly, SAW.

I want to make a special emphasis on the fight against SAW, since this is exactly the team that 1WIN will face in the next match. The meeting was held on Vertigo, the map where 1WIN perform better. The fight was as tight as possible and lasted until the second series of overtimes. As a result, 1WIN won with a score of 22-20, but it cost them a lot.

In the next confrontation against SAW, the team was defeated with a score of 9-16 on Ancient. This is not surprising, since for SAW this is a favorite map, which we will talk about later. Therefore, the success of 1WIN in the duel with SAW directly depends on the map on which the teams will play.

Coming back to 1WIN itself, it is worth noting that their map pool is quite weak. They don't have a single battlefield where they can feel too confident and perform with a 70% win rate or more. Their best result was shown on Overpass, and 66.7% came from just 3 meetings. Their top pick was Vertigo, but 7 cards showed them winning 57.1% of the time, which is also not very comforting.

History of recent meetings 1WIN

IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe Open Qualifier 4

• 1WIN 14-16 HEET
• 1WIN 9-16 SAW
• 1WIN 2-0 Forward Gaming
• 1WIN 16-69 Pandas
• 1WIN 16-5premghouls

IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe Open Qualifier 2

• 1WIN 0-2 K23
• 1WIN 22-20 SAW
• 1WIN 16-14 GRGECHI

IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe Open Qualifier 1

• 1WIN 8-16 AVANGAR

Best 1WIN cards

• Overpass (3 cards) - 66.7%
• Vertigo (7 cards) - 57.1%
• Ancient (6 cards) - 50.0%
• Nuke (4 cards) - 50.0%
• Mirage (2 cards) - 50.0%
• Dust 2 (6 cards) - 33.3%

SAW Game Uniform

SAW is a Portuguese roster currently ranked 51st in the HLTV world ranking. The team is 10 lines behind 1WIN. Just like 1WIN, the Portuguese took part in 9 matches in August and won 6 of them. In the last match, they completely defeated Astralis, a strong Danish team, and in the penultimate match, they defeated 1WIN with a score of 16-9, which I talked about earlier. In other confrontations, the team beat GamerLegion, Anonymo Esports, Infinity and Beyond Possible.

The team tried to qualify for IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe four times, and on the fourth try, MUTiRiS and his teammates succeeded. As a result, the roster won five matches and took first place, defeating Astralis in the final.

As for the mappool, it will be prettier than 1WIN. In the first place in terms of the number of cards played and won is Ancient. Of the 7 games played, the team won 6 of them. In second place for the Portuguese is Nuke. Out of 6 meetings, the team won 4 of them.

In general, SAW, despite their position in the HLTV rating, which, by the way, is not very important, looks quite good and has good chances of winning.

SAW match history

IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe Open Qualifier 4

• SAW 16-12 Astralis
• SAW 16-9 1WIN
• SAW 2-0
• SAW 16-9 Anonymo Esports
• SAW 16-5 Infinite

IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe Open Qualifier 3

• SAW 14-16 1PIN

IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe Open Qualifier 2

• SAW 20-22 1WIN
• SAW 16-10 Beyond Possible

IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe Open Qualifier 1

• SAW 1-16 AGO

The best SAW cards

• Ancient (7 cards) - 85.7%
• Nuke (6 cards) - 66.7%
• Vertigo (6 cards) - 50.0%
• Inferno (4 cards) - 50.0%
• Overpass (2 cards) - 50.0%
• Dust 2 (2 cards) - 0.0%

Conclusion

In this fight, I like SAW representatives more. The team has good chances to win, but I suggest to reduce the risks to bet on Handicap +1.5 cards in favor of the Portuguese. In this case, the coefficient will be 1.38, which is already quite good.

Betters who prefer to bet only on a win and can afford such a risk can also bet on a SAW win, and the odds on this outcome are equal to 2.25, which is quite good.

In addition, I would pay attention to the Total over 2.5 cards market. The last two Bo1 meetings showed that the teams like to fight in earnest and in this Bo3 match the teams can break through Total 2.5 maps without any problems. In terms of profitability, this market is certainly more attractive, since the odds for Total over 2.5 cards is 1.90.

If the teams suddenly become Ancient, then in live you can safely bet on the victory of SAW in this map.

Final bet: Handicap +1.5 cards in favor of SAW with odds of 1.38