Forutsigelse av kamp: NaVi - Illuminar | CS2 (CS:GO)
IEM Road to Rio 2022 European RMR BOne of the closing matches of the first gaming day of Intel Extreme Masters Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B will be a meeting between Natus Vincere and Illuminar Gaming. The chances of NAVI winning are very high and experts from bookmakers rightly believe that the probability of their victory is equal to 86%, which is expressed in a coefficient of 1.08. To put it mildly, it will be unprofitable to bet on their victory, and therefore it is better to consider the option of some alternative market. Let's see what is better to choose in this case.
Natus Vincere uniform
Now NAVI is in 2nd place in the list of the best CS:GO teams that has not been updated. The team failed at the last ESL Pro League Season 16 for its level. The team got into Group A along with such opponents as Team Vitality, Fnatic, Team Spirit, NiP and Endpoint. In the group stage, the team lost in matches against NiP, Vitality and even Endpoint, but managed to beat Team Spirit and Fnatic. After advancing to the playoffs, Natus Vincere beat Heroic in the first round, but in the quarterfinals they could not beat the skills of G2 Esports. The performances of s1mple and his teammates in September were limited to ESL Pro League Season 16 alone, and therefore you will have to rely on the history of these matches.
NAVI are the kings of Nuke and perform there with success in 80% of cases. They also love Dust 2, which resulted in a 75% win rate on this map. They also play well on Mirage and Overpass, however, compared to the previously mentioned Nuke and Dust 2, the win percentage is more meager there, equating to 63.6% and 62.5%.
In general, given the motivation of Natus Vincere to break into the Major tournament and take out the evil for the lost EPL #16, the team looks more than a clear favorite of the match.
History of recent Natus Vincere meetings
ESL Pro League Season 16
- Natus Vincere 1-2 G2 Esports
- Natus Vincere 2-1 Heroic
- Natus Vincere 1-2 NiP
- Natus Vincere 1-2 Team Vitality
- Natus Vincere 0-2
- Natus Vincere 2-1 Fnatic
- Natus Vincere 2-0 Team Spirit
Natus Vincere map statistics
- Nuke (5 cards) - 80%
- Dust 2 (4 cards) - 75%
- Mirage (11 cards) - 63.6%
- Overpass (8 cards) - 62.5%
- Inferno (9 cards) - 44.4%
- Ancient (3 cards) - 33.3%
Illuminar Gaming Uniform
Illuminar Gaming are far from Natus Vincere in many ways. The team is ranked 77th in the world ranking according to HLTV, and in September they took part only in second-rate tournaments and qualifiers, which were closed and open. Roster over the past month was able to win the fight against ex-SKADE, los kogutos, Lilmix and Astralis Talent, but lost against UNGENTIUM, HONORIS, Into the Breach and Finest. By the way, their performances in these events cannot be called successful either: 3rd-4th place in the closed qualifiers at BLAST Premier Fall Showdown, 9th-16th place in open qualifiers at ESL Challenger Rotterdam 2022, 9th-16th place at CCT Central Europe Series 2 and 5th-8th place in the closed qualifiers for CCT North Europe Series 1. Do you feel the level of the game?
Not only the results of matches Illuminar demonstrate their unpreparedness for the upcoming match. Their map pool leaves much to be desired, and the roster showed the best performance on Overpass, Dust 2 and Vertigo, where the win rate was 57.1%, 54.5% and 50% respectively. Not worth talking about the rest of the cards.
History of last meetings Illuminar Gaming
CCT North Europe Series 1 Closed Qualifier
- Illuminar Gaming 2-0 Astralis Talent
- Illuminar Gaming 2-1 Lilmix
CCT Central Europe Series 2
- Illuminar Gaming 0-2 Finest
- Illuminar Gaming 2-0 Los Kogutos
- Illuminar Gaming 2-0 ex-SKADE
- Illuminar Gaming 0-2 Into the Breach
ESL Challenger Rotterdam 2022 Europe Open Qualifier 2
- Illuminar Gaming 11-16 HONORIS
GAM3RS_X EU Champions Fall 2022 - Poland Closed Qualifier
- Illuminar Gaming 1-2 UNGENTIUM
Illuminar Gaming Card Statistics
- Overpass (7 cards) - 57.1%
- Dust 2 (11 cards) - 54.5%
- Vertigo (4 cards) - 50%
- Ancient (7 cards) - 42.9%
- Mirage (6 cards) - 33.3%
- Nuke (3 cards) - 33.3%
Conclusion
There is no reason to doubt the victory of Natus Vincere, except for the fact that they used to tend to lose in the debut matches of any tournament. Now they face a weak opponent with an extremely limited map pool, where Illuminar demonstrate poor playing skills. For this reason, one could dare to bet on Handicap of -8.5 rounds at odds of 2.08 or Handicap of -7.5 rounds at odds of 1.78. However, I prefer to choose, as usual, the golden mean. This means that we can consider Handicap -6.5 with a coefficient of 1.55 or Handicap -5.5 rounds with a less solid odds of 1.43, but also less risk. I will give my preference to Faure -6.5 rounds in favor of Natus Vincere. They should close this meeting with a score of 16-9 or by a wide gap in the rounds.
Final bet: Handicap -5.5 rounds in favor of Natus Vincere with odds of 1.55
Bookmakers & Statistics
For øyeblikket ser flertallet av bookmakere enstemmig på laget NaVi som favoritten i spillet med gjennomsnittlige odds på seier i summen av 1.075. Illuminar sjanser til å vinne blir evaluert med gjennomsnittlige odds 9.248 av bookmakere.
Hvordan presterte deltakerne i de siste kampene
Siste kamper | NaVi | Illuminar |
5 kamper (seire) | 2 | [bortevinnerrate_5] |
10 kamper (seire) | 7 | 6 |
Gamblere vil definitivt være interessert i statistikken over personlige møter mellom lagene. Deltakerne i kampen før møtet spilte 0 kamper med hverandre. I disse kampene fikk NaVi 0 seire mens Illuminar klarte å ta 0 kamper.