Forutsigelse av kamp: sAw - MOUZ | Counter-Strike (CS2)

SAW and MOUZ will meet in the quarterfinals of the upper bracket of the ESL Pro League Season 17 group stage. To be honest, everything is not so simple in this match. It is clear that the “mice” are the favorites, but the Portuguese were preparing for the championship pointwise and are ready to shoot.

In other words, SAW has enough experience, because over the past year the team has been to all sorts of LAN tournaments and collected bumps to work with.

Moreover, MOUZ failed at the start of the new season, having suffered two defeats in Katowice, one of which fell on Complexity Gaming.

And here there are many options, since the “mice”, of course, with a probability of 90% will close the meeting in their favor - after all, the guys have more potential.

Nevertheless, I personally think that the Portuguese team has good chances to catch on to this game. Therefore, here I would take a closer look at the map from SAW, especially since the team has enough options to maneuver.

SAW shape

The 24th team in the world rankings had an ambiguous start to the new season, but still managed to win the ESL Pro League Season 17 Conference Europe qualifier.

Then SAW went to the semi-finals of CCT South Europe Series 2 and OMEN WGR Challenge 2023, where over and over again for some reason it turned off at the right time.

Of the latter, the Portuguese team, with difficulty, but still qualified for BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023 Europe RMR. Moreover, the team managed to suffer three defeats in the main draw, but took the final slot in tie-breaks.

Latest SAW results:

• Victory over Mixfits with a score of 16:8.
• Defeated by Astralis with a score of 1:2.
• Defeated by Viperio with a score of 0:2.
• Victory over HEET with a score of 2:0.
• Victory over JANO with a score of 2:0.

Best SAW cards:

• Vertigo - 90% of wins.
• Nuke - 70% win rate.
• Inferno - 57% of wins.
• Anubis - 57% of wins.
• Ancient - 55% win rate

Do not forget that the Portuguese team traditionally refuses the Mirage card.

MOUZ form

The twelfth team of the world ranking surprised at IEM Rio Major 2022, where they managed to reach the semi-finals, in which they lost only to the future champion represented by the Outsiders.

However, then the “mice” rested for a very long time, so that three months later they would come to IEM Katowice 2023 and disgrace themselves. As a result, MOUZ suffered two losses from OG and Complexity Gaming, showing an overly terrible game.

And I don’t think that now the team will work on the mistakes and become stronger. On the contrary, MOUZ plays too rarely, which will affect the performance at a distance. And it is worth saying that the leaders noticeably lost.

Latest MOUZ results:

• Victory over ENCE with a score of 2:1.
• Victory over Cloud9 with a score of 2:1.
• Lost to the Outsiders with a score of 1:2.
• Lost to OG with a score of 1:2.
• Defeated by Complexity Gaming with a score of 1:2.

Best MOUZ cards:

• Nuke - 100% win rate.
• Inferno - 50% win rate.

Interestingly, in the last two meetings, the MOUZ team refused the Anubis card.

SAW vs MOUZ meeting statistics

The teams have not met before.

Prediction for the match SAW — MOUZ

The "mice" have one clear advantage - the lack of information on their own. However, even here there are some nuances, since the lack of practice can affect MOUZ and play a cruel joke with the team.

Nevertheless, SAW is a strong enough team that will play the first number on their maps. And it seems to me that on the conditional Vertigo and Inferno everything will not be so simple.

In general, I would take into account the fact that the mice played little, and if they did, they lost. Therefore, in this case, I would recommend betting on Handicap by cards (+1.5) for the SAW team.