Forutsigelse av kamp: Xtreme Gaming - DAWN | Dota 2
DPC 2022/2023 Winter Tour 1: CN Division I (Upper)In the Chinese region, battles continue as part of DPC 2023: China Upper Division. The 9th day of confrontation is next in line, which will be remarkable for several reasons.
First, the game day will be short. Tomorrow only 2 matches will be played in China and they will be of dubious quality.
Secondly, this is the last day before a long pause: the Chinese region has significantly rushed forward and overtook colleagues from other leagues according to the calendar. Soon the New Year celebrations will begin there, and therefore the competition will be paused until January 31.
Xtreme Gaming and DAWN will open the day. A duel between diametrically opposed teams in terms of the level of play will decide the fate of the teams.
If Xtreme, in case of victory, reduces their chances of getting into the Lima Major, then a defeat for DAWN means relegation from the first division.
We figure out if the main loser of the division has a chance to catch on for the opportunity to stay afloat, or Xtreme will be closed without a chance by counterparts.
Xtreme Gaming Uniform
Let's start the analysis of the match with the analysis of Xtreme Gaming's game form. They will be the clear favorite in this fight.
The bookies give preference to the Paparazzi team. On the victory of the team give a coefficient in the region of 1.7.
There is no doubt about the pre-match status of Xtreme here: DAWN in its current form is an opportunity to earn a free victory. But in the global plan, there are questions to Xtreme.
Composition Xtreme
It seems that the formula with a set of tops in China does not work. Xtreme has the most formidable line-up in terms of names, but this does not bring them easy victories.
Xtreme Roaster
- Ghost
- Paparazzi
- JT
- Pyw
- Dy
Before the start of the season, there were point changes in the team. JT and Ghost joined the camp of the Chinese club, and it is not yet clear whether these replacements are successful or not.
In terms of performance, the team is clearly far from the pre-season forecasts. However, to blame all the sins on the two newly arrived players is such an idea. Not everyone plays very well.
Xtreme Gaming Performance
Starting last season from 2nd place at Intel World Open Beijing, the team caught up with OGA Dota PIT Season 6: China, where they won against MagMag in the final.
Then there was a performance in the first round of DPC China 2021/2022, followed by a second place and access to the regional finals. At the regional finals, Xtreme took 3rd place, behind PSG.LGD and Team Aster.
Xtreme also played at DPC CN 2021/2022 Tour 3: Division 1, where they took 3rd place. After “average” performances within the first division, Xtreme Gaming got to the closed qualifiers for The International 2022 from China.
The team took 2nd place there, went to the Last Chance Qualifier and, it would seem, should have gone to The International itself, but this did not happen.
Having taken TOP-6 on LCQ, Xtreme Gaming dropped out of the race for Aegis and changed their roster.
In the first match of DPC 2023, they met Aster.Aries. Team Aster's junior team caused problems for the stars, but after the first card was handed over to Xtreme, they got together and closed the series. Shone, by the way, JT: the newcomer of the club filigree played on Magnus in the third map.
The main line-up of Aster became the second opponent. Although the game ended on three maps, it cannot be said that it was equal: only at the matchpoint was the struggle visible, but there Aster turned out to be stronger than their counterparts.
After losing against the main roster of Aster, Xtreme faced off against EHOME. This match was so far the only series where everything went according to plan: Xtreme, as expected, beat less title rivals with a score of 2-0.
Xtreme had their fourth fight with the Knights. The most controversial team of the season took the series away from Xtreme, but do not forget about the Perfect World investigation into the incident of the possible use of maphack by the “knights”.
Xtreme Gaming Heroes
In patch 7.32 Xtreme Gaming liked to use Death Prophet (13 games, 76% win rate), Shadow Fiend (8 matches, 50% win rate), Earth Spirit (8 matches, 50% win rate), Nyx Assassin (7 matches, 57% win rate)).
Form DAWN
We continue the review with an analysis of the game form of DAWN. The team will approach this match as an absolute outsider.
The bookmaker has already been buried by DAWN. The chance of winning the series is equal to the coefficient in the region of 7.
Frankly, it is very difficult to find some words about DAWN every time. The team is clearly redundant here.
Line-up DAWN
Let's give credit: there was an attempt. The team seems to have shown efforts, but no one will give a victory for it for free.
DAWN players
- idc
- ex
- Son Goku
- Docres
- Ms
Obviously, the DAWN roster is going to change, and quite quickly. Already next season they will play in the second division, where, perhaps, with the experience gained, they will look much better.
DAWN Performance
Appearing virtually out of nowhere (we'll omit MOON Studio level tournaments for now), DAWN managed to play only one series as part of DPC 2023. It was held against PSG.LGD and ended accordingly.
The Chinese grand, having lost three players of the golden squad, literally did not feel the opponent. Two maps ended in 40 minutes, and during this time DAWN managed to get 7 kills.
In the second match, DAWN met EHOME. The team fought, it's worth paying tribute, but the result was the same - 2-0 not in favor of DAWN.
The third duel followed an identical scenario. DAWN lost to Invictus Gaming without a single chance.
Groundhog Day continued in the next series, but with a different opponent. They were Team Aster, who swept away their opponents in 46 minutes in total.
Heroes DAWN
DAWN tried to take opponents as a standard, though not without some interesting things. Most often in patch 7.32, the team chooses Mirana (16 games, 50% wins), Lich (11 matches, 36% wins), Tusk (11 matches, 36% wins), Marci (10 games, 30% wins).
Note that the win rate of the characters draws on the fact that clubs participate in local tournaments of the Moon Studio level and others. Nothing works on DPC.
History of personal confrontations
Previously, the teams did not play each other. This fight will be the debut face-to-face confrontation between the teams.
Match outcome
In this fight, I expect a scenario identical to the previous DAWN matches. Xtreme are literally bound to beat their opponents 2-0.
For Paparazzi and company, a victory here provides an opportunity to move up the table and jump into the top 4 teams that will go to the Lima Major. The opponent is more than suitable for scoring. The only thing left is not to mess things up and just play normal DotA without underestimating and experimenting. Closing the game with a standard is the right choice.
Result: 2-0 in favor of Extreme.
Bookmakers & Statistics
For øyeblikket ser flertallet av bookmakere enstemmig på laget Xtreme Gaming som favoritten i spillet med gjennomsnittlige odds på seier i summen av 1.02. DAWN sjanser til å vinne blir evaluert med gjennomsnittlige odds 10.15 av bookmakere.
Hva lagets prestasjonsstatistikk sier
Siste kamper | Xtreme Gaming | DAWN |
5 kamper (seire) | 3 | [bortevinnerrate_5] |
10 kamper (seire) | 4 | 3 |
Statistikken over personlige kamper mellom lag er også viktig for vellykkede spill. Konkurrentene har holdt 0 kamper. Og Xtreme Gaming vant 0 ganger mens DAWN tilsvarende ble vinneren 0 ganger.