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The DPC 2023 WEU Division 1 Tour 3 match breakdown continues with a betting round-up of Team Secret - D1 Hustlers. A game that, at first glance, does not appear to cause The International heresy, should prove to be a real "uncut" diamond of the game day.
Both teams are in unenviable positions and a win is a must for both sides. A win in this match could keep the winner out of the relegation zone and I don't think the Secret that D1 Hustlers would want.
Trying to work out who will emerge victorious in this duel of season outsiders and possibly take their last chance to stay in the top division.
Let's go.
Team Secret uniform
Let's start with the analysis of Team Secret's form. They are the favourites in this match, and who are we to argue with the bookies.
They, the bookies, give odds of around 1.6 for a Secret win. It's been a long time since Puppey and company have had such an honour in the top division of Western Europe.
And for good reason. Secret are not playing well in the new year, that's a fact.
After the highly successful The International 2022 and a top-2 finish there, Secret have been blown away in a blink of an eye. The departure from the team of their only and, as it turned out, main link, Nisha, was enough.
After the Pole left the Secret before the DPC 2023 Long Soping, Secret rapidly began to lose weight on the regional stage. It got so far that in the first round of the DPC, they were relegated to the second division.
There, Secret made the decision to once again revamp the line-up. So the question is, did it help?
- The line-up of Team Secret: Crystallis, Armel, BOOM, yamich, Puppey .
They managed to get through the Second Division, it would be strange if they didn't get out of there. But in the home harbor, there were fires, problems and that's about it.
Secret are in a deplorable position until the Long Sogpeg match. The team played 3 matches and lost in each of them.
They lost to Liquid 0-2, lost to Gaimin Gladiators 1-2. Lost their last game against OG after winning the game.
The most popular heroes of Team Secret
Among the most chosen heroes of Secret are Mirana, Tusk and Primal Beast. All have 6 games and 83% of wins.
In addition Monkey King and Ember Spirit appeared in spades (5 games and 100% wins). Death Prophet also played 5 matches, however she won 4 matches.
Also took Jakiro (3 matches, 100% wins), Enchantress (3 matches, 100% wins). Abaddon (2 matches, 66% wins), Broodmother (2 matches, 100% wins).
It can't be said that Secret is completely ineffective. They can fight even in the prevailing conditions, but it doesn't lead to victories. It's time for Puppey to get involved, for the prospect of heading back to the second division is very real.
D1 Hustlers form
We continue our match-by-match analysis with an analysis of the D1 Hustlers' form. In this game, the team will play in catch-up status.
Bookmakers do not particularly believe in the success of the Hustlers. The odds on their victory are estimated at around 2.2.
It's not hard to agree with the state of affairs, because it's not possible to play number one, but there's something else that bothers The International, namely the odds themselves. In fact, 2.2 is only for the tag, for the game the teams, however paradoxical it may sound, are about equal.
So what. The effectiveness speaks for itself.
D1 Hustlers have been and, needless to say, are regulars on the TIR-2 scene. Relegation to the first division does not particularly change their status.
They, like Secret, qualified for the first division after the Top 2 of the second division. There they beat Secret, which should have been suggestive in the lead up to Long Sogpeg's new season, but I wouldn't look for a correlation.
- D1 Hustlers line-up: Shad, Adzantick, Davai Lama, Thiolicor, Xakoda.
To be fair, it's too early to bury the D1 Hustlers. They have the skills to play dota, and as a team do not look terrible. However, all this does not help them in matches.
D1 Hustlers are 0-2 in matches so far and nothing critical has happened yet. The D1 Hustlers still have a chance of securing their place in the first division, and for that they need to pick up points here and now.
The most popular D1 Hustlers heroes
A couple of the most picked D2 Hustlers heroes are Timbersaw and Rubick (4 games each, 75% wins). Next are Disruptor, Ember Spirit with 3 games and 2 wins each.
Also played with Bounty Hunter, Clockwerk, Mirana, Outworld Destroyer, who have 2 wins in 2 games each.
A plus for the D1 Hustlers could be the fact that the teams have a history of head-to-head encounters. They have previously crossed paths in the second division and should understand each other's strengths and weaknesses.
D1 Hustlers - Team Secret match history
The teams have previously played each other in DPC Division II 2023: Tour II. That was a 2-0 win for the D1 Hustlers.
Match result
I expect a real bloodbath in this match. Both teams showed that they play chaotically and not evenly, so the most likely outcome of the match I see a clash on three maps.
Bottom line: total +2.5.
