Forutsigelse av kamp: Evil Geniuses - Beastcoast | Dota 2
The Lima Major 2023After 18 long hours, the first gaming day of Lima Major 2023 is over. He gave us an understanding of the strengths of some teams in full-fledged bo3s, and now it's time to get acquainted with the remaining four teams that made it to the lower bracket of the playoffs.
One of these bands is beastcoast. They will play in the first round of the loser bracket against Evil Geniuses.
Peruvian derby at a major in Lima. Will many hours of pause spoil the atmosphere of this match?
Evil Geniuses found themselves here after an "average" performance in the group stage. Taking third place in Group A, EG played in the upper bracket, from where they quickly fell to the lower bracket.
Colleagues of the “evil geniuses” from beastcoast got into the lower bracket directly. South America's top team made it to the bottom of the play-off bracket right after the group stage.
We are trying to figure out which of the residents of South America will be stronger in this bo3 and advance further in the tournament, and who will have to say goodbye to the home major scene.
Evil Geniuses Form
Let's start the review of the match with an analysis of the game form of Evil Geniuses. In this match they will play as a favorite.
The bookmakers believe in EG's victory, but there is a big “but”. The coefficient for the victory of Evil Geniuses is at around 1.7.
Such a figure gives an understanding of the strength of EG, however, it is impossible to call the team a clear favorite: the gap between the teams is too small. There are several reasons for this, but the main one is the playing condition of the EG roster.
Lineup EG
After moving to South America, Evil Geniuses looked like a serious contender for high places in the final tables of major events, such as Lima Major 2023.
Evil Geniuses players
- Pakazs
- Chris Luck
- Wisper
- Matthew
- pandaboo
“Calls” began to arrive as early as within the regional league, and at Lima Major 2023 they became more distinct. Simply put, EG are bad at this tournament, and Lima's first playoff match confirms the words.
Evil Geniuses Performance
EG played the regular season with a 6-1 record. The only defeat happened in the 3rd week match against beastcoast.
In the first match, Evil Geniuses played against PSG.LGD. In that duel, EG confidently won the first game, and then decided to take Venomancer, which led to a defeat.
Then there was a fight with Talon, where EG, having won a difficult first map, lost on the second one without a fight. As a result 1-1
In the third series we played with Team Spirit. The Dragons managed to outbid EG, preventing the strategy from working through Timbersaw, and then beat their favorite Chaos: 2-0 in favor of EG.
After not the most successful matches, they took over their heads and beat Tundra. However, there was a completely unnecessary draw in the match with EHOME.
Towards the end of the group stage, they tied with Execration and beat GG and TSM, which eventually allowed them to reach the playoffs from the third place in the group. And there something terrible happened.
In the first playoff match against Entity EG, they did not show any games at all. Despite the rather long matches of 40+ minutes, EG failed to bring fresh ideas to the match, and Entity, thanks to unpopular decisions like Pugna in the center or Silencer in 3 positions, outplayed Evil Geniuses in all respects.
Heroes Evil Geniuses
EG has according to the canons of patch 7.32. However, there are some idiosyncratic choices. However, so far only the standard has worked.
The most picked character is Rubick. Appeared 11 times and won 9 matches.
Monkey King (8 games, 87% wins), Mars (8 matches, 62% wins), Timbersaw (7 games, 100% wins), Silencer (7 matches, 100% wins) are popular.
Surprising obstinacy can be called ignoring Lina. Not only do they not take it, they don't ban a broken hero, which they paid for in the first game of the playoffs.
Form Beastcoast
On the other side of the barricades there will be beastcoast. They are assigned the role of second fiddle and there are a number of questions about this.
Bookmakers are considered bc outsiders. The chance of winning the first team from South America is estimated at odds around 2.
The gap is minimal and it exists, but as for me, after the performance of Evil Geniuses in the first match of the playoffs, it should not have been. Still, slightly better results in groups in no way guarantee success in the match, and we will be able to verify this using the example of this meeting.
Composition of Beastcoast
At the start of the season, beastcoast, like most professional teams, reformatted the roster. It turned out to be a kind of mix of the artists of the then bc and Thunder, which, as expected, led to success within the home league.
Beacstcoast Players
- K1
- DarkMago
- Sacred
- Gojira
- Stinger
The players are skillful, worthy, and have shown their capacity in practice. If only they played at Lima Major 2023 as best they could, and you can count on such a turn of events: beastcoast is the favorite of the public all over the world, what can we say about local DotA fans.
beastcoast performance
The mood for great achievements began to show back in the days of DPC 2023: SA - Upper Division. There, BC knew no equal: K1 and the company went through the home league like a skating rink: the team did not lose a single series, but gave only 2 maps.
Later there was a performance at BTS Pro Series Season 14, where bc took TOP-4, but now it’s not about that. The performance in Lima Major 2023 is important.
In the group stage, beastcoast failed to qualify for the upper bracket. We were close, but Aster turned out to be better in replays and pushed bc to the bottom of the bracket.
This match will be the first in the playoffs, but not the first bo3 in this tournament. Before that, bc had already played 3 maps against Team Aster.
Heroes of beastcoast
Mars remains the most picked character for beastcoast. The local god of war has spawned 12 times and has a 75% win rate.
Also appeared Rubick (9 games, 88% wins), Tiny (9 matches, 55% wins), Kunkka (8 matches, 75% wins), Pangolier (7 games, 100% wins).
History of personal confrontations
Previously, the teams managed to play each other in the local DPC league. Beastcoast then celebrated success, winning that series with a score of 2-0.
The outcome of the fight
The best result for the show would be a full-fledged bo3 and this is quite likely. Teams play randomly, and therefore they may not figure out who is stronger for 2 cards.
In any case, with any number of cards, I see bc as winners here. Based on yesterday's game, EG can't say anything good about them, and given the experience of head-to-head meetings, I believe that beastcoast will repeat the success of the times of the top division of the South American DPC and close the match.
Outcome: victory for beastcoast.
The Major in Peru could not do without such a Peruvian derby - beastcoast against Evil Geniuses. Entity did everything yesterday so that we could enjoy this Dota holiday with pauses and eternal delays, but the fans must take it out.
Analytics for the beastcoast team (8-8)
beastcoast finished the group in 5th place, where they lost to Team Aster (1:2). They have: 2 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. Wins only with Geek Slate and Knights, losses against Liquid and Shopify Rebellion, and most of the games were draws - Aster, BetBoom, HR and Entity.
Analytics on the team Evil Geniuses (10-6)
Their game yesterday with Entity showed a lot, the teams continue to play with Kunkka, who does not win at all. A lot of questions about Wisper, Chris Luck, but Pakazs plays great and is stable. EG defeated Gladiators, TSM and Tundra Esports, draws with EHOME, Talon, PSG.LGD, Execration, lost to Team Spirit. In the playoffs, we lost to Entity (0:2), I would advise you to take a closer look at the game of Wisper and Chris Luck, if they do not start to line up normally - there is nothing to catch.
Prediction for match beastcoast vs EG
In the DPC season, the teams played only once, when beastcoast defeated Evil Geniuses (2:0). An incredibly principled game for Wisper and Chris Luck as they will be up against a former team. In any case, the crowd will support their own, probably more than beastcoast, as they could be disappointed by EG after yesterday's defeat by Entity. A good bet in this match for 3 maps and still win EG.
Prediction: EG will win beastcoast
Analytics and forecasts in Telegram: t.me/flzbets
Bookmakers & Statistics
Alle bookmakere har blitt enige om at Evil Geniuses er favoritten. Dette kan legges merke til fordi oddsen på dem er 1.398. Dette tallet i favør av Beastcoast beløper seg til 2.863. Henholdsvis de siste er underdogs i den kommende kampen.
Hva er suksessene til lagene i de siste kampene
Siste kamper | Evil Geniuses | Beastcoast |
5 kamper (seire) | 4 | [bortevinnerrate_5] |
10 kamper (seire) | 6 | 4 |
Vi vil også minne om statistikken over kamper som lagene spilte med hverandre. Konkurrentene har holdt 10 kamper. I disse kampene vant Evil Geniuses 4 ganger, Beastcoast aktive consisits av 3 seire.