Forutsigelse av kamp: OG - Nigma Galaxy | Dota 2

The final battles within the Western European division continue. The second game day in the top division is on the agenda.

The next round of confrontation will be opened by OG and Nigma Galaxy. The match will be crucial for both clubs for various reasons.

OG will enter the battle with a 4-1 statistic in the standings. The team takes the 2nd place in the standings, and in case of victory, it goes to Lima Major 2023.

Nigma Galaxy, on the other hand, are in the relegation zone. The stellar team KuroKy lost all their games and is now in the last line of the standings with 0-4 statistics, and a defeat in their case is almost guaranteed to lead to relegation to the second division.

Let's try to figure out if Nigma Galaxy can repeat the experience of Puppey, who won his first series at the end of the season and maintain hypothetical chances for a place in the first division of the DPC spring tour.

Form OG

Let's open the match with an analysis of OG's uniform. In this match, the team plays in the status of a favorite.

The bookmakers are merciless in their decision. They single out OG as the only possible winner of the match, giving odds of around 1.25 for this outcome.

It is really easy to believe in OG in the new season. The team shows a decent level of DotA and looks more cheerful than at the end of last year.

Roster OG

Naturally, the main reason for the global “restart” of OG was the reshuffling of the OG roster. They touched on the “sacred cow” of last season, which turned out to be not such a monolithic fragment of the team.

OG Players

  • Yuragi
  • bzm
  • DM
  • Taiga
  • Misha

It's foolish to deny that DM did a great job replacing the ATF. However, this was the emphasis of OG, who were looking for a more sacrificial performer than Ammar, and poking around, they found it.

OG Performance

Last season, the surviving backbone of OG managed to prove itself both in the regional league and beyond. OG took TOP-4 at DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 1: Division 1, 3rd at DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 1: Regional Final.

In the second round, Misha's team won the DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 2: Division 1, after which they played at ESL One Stockholm, the first major of OG's new look.

In Sweden, the young generation of the club of the two-time world champion showed the pinnacle of playing skills, taking the TOP-1. After that, the performance dropped a little.

The team took TOP-3 at DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 3: DIvision 1, Riyadh Masters 2022, 4th place at PGL Arlington Major 2022 season 2, and then won ESL One Malaysia.

OG went to The International 2022 as the first team in Europe, but they turned out to be almost the last. The team reached the TOP-8, which was a good result. However, Puppey has it better.

In the new season, OG made their debut in a match against the reigning world champions. Tundra, thanks to their playstyle and all sorts of DKs and Beastmasters, outplayed OG quite easily with a score of 2-0.

On the next tour, OG met Team Secret. The last ones this season are desperately bad, which logically led to the failure of Puppey and the score 0-2 against OG.

Then OG played against Gaimin Gladiators. Contrary to expectations, OG turned out to be stronger than Gladiators (2-0), who are looking pretty good this season.

In the next series, OG met with Into The Breach. The newcomers of the division, after a good gallop at the beginning of the year, were blown away and lost to OG with a score of 0-2, without actually showing a fight.

After ITB, OG played Entity. A more formidable opponent, a much tougher series: OG outplayed Entity in a difficult b3, and we put a separate plus for the victory over the killer Lin-th position performed by watson on the first map.

Heroes OG

In the new competitive season, OG is getting meta-standard characters. The most picked hero is Lina (5 matches, 80% win rate).

Next comes Tusk, mainly to the center lane. Appeared three times, won all 3 games. A similar story with Tiny, who was selected 3 times and won in all games.

Death Prophet and Snapfire played 3 duels and won 2 each. The most disastrous character that appears frequently is Hoodwink. The win rate of a nominal position 4 support is 33% in 3 games.

Shape Nigma Galaxy

We continue the review with an analysis of the game form of Nigma Galaxy. Once again, the KuroKy team grazes the back, approaching this match in the status of an outsider.

Bookmakers once again issue a verdict not in favor of Nigma. The chance of their victory is estimated by the coefficient in the region of 3.75.

This figure is set solely out of respect for the old people. This season, KuroK cannot even count on the theoretical success of the KuroK team, although at the beginning of the race it seemed that Nigma could finally surprise.

Composition of Nigma Galaxy

It seems that soon Nigma will reach the decision to reconsider the approach to creating a team. The hodgepodge of old people, although stellar, does not work for the second season in a row.

  • SumaiL
  • ATF
  • MinD_ControlRoL
  • GH
  • KuroKy

SumaiL was supposed to dilute the gloomy company of MinD_ContRoL, GH and KuroKy in the middle of 2022, but this did not happen. We tried to brighten up the atmosphere by signing ATF already this season. Again by.

Performance of Nigma Galaxy

Nigma Galaxy started last year in the TOP-6 at DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 1: Division 1, which briefly separated them from relegation to the second division. The actual relegation came a season later when Nigma took last place at DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 2: Division 1.

Once in the second league, the stellar team nevertheless easily took the first line and regained their place in the elite division for the 2023 season. In addition, the team played Riyadh Masters 2022 and ESL One Malaysia 2022, where they took the TOP 6 in the first and the second TOP -8.

The last tournament before the BetBoom Xmas Show and the replacement of the roster was the qualifier for The International 2022 from Western Europe. There, the team took the TOP-6, missing out on the second in a row of The International.

After changing the roster, the team took part in the local BB Xmas Show event. Having received a direct invite to the playoffs, KuroKy and the company fell face down in the dirt: Nigma lost two series out of two played and left the tournament at the TOP-8 stage.

In the first match of DPC 2023, Nigma played against Tundra Esports. As I said above, it turned out, surprisingly, not bad: Nigma, thanks to the pick from Huskar and Lina, took one card, already something.

Then “those same Nigmas” turned on. In a match against ITB, seemingly the most passable member of the league, KuroKy and company collapsed, losing 0-2, thus effectively putting an end to their further participation in the first league.

Then there were Gaimin Gladiators, who also turned out to be stronger than Nigma Galaxy in the match. GG beat Nigma 2-1.

Nigma's fourth rival was Team Liquid. You don't need to be an incredible specialist to guess the outcome of the match: the “liquids” effortlessly dealt with Nigma Galaxy with a score of 2-0.

Heroes of Nigma Galaxy

Like most teams, Nigma hit the meta, which is pretty logical. The problem is that this does not bring Nigma the desired result, although it is obvious that the point here is not only and not so much in spades.

The most frequent guest in the season is Tusk (6 games, 33% of wins). Next come Rubick with 5 games and 0 wins, Mars with 1 win in 4 matches, Beastmaster and Lina with 1 win in 3 fights.

History of personal confrontations

In the 2023 season, the teams did not have the opportunity to play face-to-face meetings. This fight will be the team's debut face-to-face confrontation.

Match outcome

Unfortunately, one should not expect any revelations from this match. I'm afraid the outcome is clear before it begins.

I don’t see how Nigma can rebuild after a series of losses, the last of which happened 4 days ago. How to make ATF a position 1 player and not a safe lane hardliner in such a short period of time?

The answer is clear - OG win with a score of 2-0.

Result: OG win with a score of 2-0.

Nå tror flertallet av bookmakerselskapene på Nigma Galaxy seier. Odds på dem er lik 2.61. I følge bookmakernes data er OG outsideren og oddsen på seiersbeløpene deres 6.107.

Hvordan lagene spilte i de siste kampene

Siste kamper OG Nigma Galaxy
5 kamper (seire) 3 [bortevinnerrate_5]
10 kamper (seire) 4 2

Statistikken over personlige kamper mellom lag er også viktig for vellykkede spill. Lagene spilte 22 kamper med hverandre tidligere. Og OG vant 16 ganger mens Nigma Galaxy tilsvarende ble vinneren 5 ganger.