Forutsigelse av kamp: Gaimin Gladiators - Evil Geniuses | Dota 2
DreamLeague Season 20 - Group Stage 2Good to see you on EGamersWorld.
We continue our analysis of the second group stage matches of DreamLeague Season 20. Next up is the match between Evil Geniuses and Gaimin Gladiators.
The match is the final leg of the second group stage. In theory, we could see a tiebreaker, however, among the "main time" matches. And what a game we got.
We have the reigning DreamLeague Season 20 champions Gaimin Gladiators in action, as well as the very serious Evil Geniuses, who are gaining momentum after the ESL One Berlin Major 2023.
Let's try to see which team will be stronger in the final match of the second group stage and earn the really important points, because the fate of slots in the play-offs is not decided yet.
Let's go.
Gaimin Gladiators uniforms
In the fine tradition of 2023, we'll start our analysis of the match by analysing the Gaimin Gladiators' form. In this match, they play as favourites.
Bookmakers are confident in GG's success. The odds on their victory are around 1.5.
It is worth noting that in this match, the bookmakers leave Evil Geniuses room to maneuver. The 1.5 for the uncontested best team in the world hints at possible mishaps in the game and potential "screw-ups" on the part of GG, which are few and far between in the course of the season.
At the DPC 2023 Tour 1 WEU Division 1, the team took the top 2, which paved the way for them to The Lima Major 2023. The first Major season of the tournament was a triumphant one for the Gladiators. The Gaimin Gladiators won the tournament without losing a match in the championship play-offs.
The next DPC cycle in the domestic league ended even worse than the previous one. Then GG lost the tiebreaker for the top 2, but more than made up for the failure with their performance in the international arena. Even twice.
On the eve of the DPC Long Soppeg 2023: Tour 3, GG took the championship in two international arenas. They won DreamLeague S19 for $1,000,000 and The Berlin Major 2023, defending their status.
In the third round of the domestic league, the Gaimin Gladiators were expected to be one of the main contenders to win the league, but were unable to secure the regional championship. At the end of DPC 2023: WEU Tour 3 GG finished 2nd.
- Gaimin Gladiators: dyrachyo, Quinn, Ace, tOfu, Seleri .
In the first group stage, GG seemed to play half-heartedly. They didn't seem to show any enthusiasm or "fire" in the team but they managed to reach the next stage.
It seemed that GG would be the first team to take a place in the play-offs, but it didn't happen. In the course of the group stage the team fouled time and again, but still looked decent. As of the penultimate game day, the Gaimin Gladiators were 3-2, exactly like their last-round opponent.
The most popular Gaimin Gladiators heroes
The most frequent pick was Rubick. The character appeared in the GG pick 8 times and has an 87% win rate.
Next are Pangolier (6 matches, 83% wins), Doom (6 matches, 66% wins), Keeper of the Light (5 matches, 80% wins), Ember Spirit (5 matches, 80% wins).
Also took Ember Spirit (4 matches, 100% wins), Terrorblade (4 matches, 75% wins).
Evil Geniuses Thomas
Let's move on to the parsing of the Evil Geniuses' form, who will appear in catch-up status in this match. Could it be any other way?
The bookmakers confirm EG's underperformance. The odds for victory in this match are estimated at around 2.5.
Obviously, the gap could have been more serious, but EG are gaining and gaining rapidly in the second half of the year. In fact, the team has been in good form all year.
In the first round of DPC 2023 SA Division 1, Evil Geniuses finished second. It was not enough to beat Beastcoast. Later attended The Lima Major 2023, where they more than made up for their home league loss by finishing in the top 6 at the Peruvian tournament.
Then they play the second round of the DPC in South America and again top-2, and again Beastcoast are ahead. Once again, however, the international scene helps, where EG, in the ESL One Berlin Major 2023, are already in the top 4, being the highest-scoring team from the region in history.
In the third DPC round, Evil Geniuses finally clawed their way to the top of the regional scene. Evil Geniuses won DPC 2023: SA Division 1.
- Evil Geniuses: Pakazs, Chris Luck, Wisper, Matthew, Pandaboo.
With the DreamLeague Season 20 Long Conger, the Evil Geniuses showed themselves in good stead. They made it through the first group stage by winning in 3-team round-robins and then played briskly in the second stage.
Like the Gaimin Gladiators, the team is 3-2 in the top 4 as of the penultimate game day of the DL Season 20. There's every chance of qualifying for the play-offs, especially if they manage to outscore GG.
Evil Geniuses' most popular heroes
In the top 4, the most popular Evil Geniuses heroes were Beastmaster and Death Prophet. Both heroes were taken 8 times each and had a 75% win rate.
After DP and Primal Beast, Leshrac was the most often played at the third position. He appeared 6 times and had a 66% win rate.
Marci (5 games, 60% win rate), Templar Assassin (4 games, 100% win rate), Jakiro (4 games, 100% win rate).
History of head-to-head encounters
The teams have played each other 4 times this year and it seems that Evil Geniuses is almost the most uncomfortable opponent for GG.
The Peruvians have won twice, the GGs have won once and the other match ended in a draw.
The outcome of the match
In this match I expect a fight. Not only is this the last match of the second group stage, but it's also a game between two teams with a very interesting head-to-head storiline.
As far as I'm concerned, EG have the upper hand in this tournament to take the card from GG. That's what the betting will be on.
Bottom line: +1.5 on EG.
Evil Geniuses is the 4th team in the world rankings. All three rounds of DPC only manage to finish in 2nd place, as there is absolutely no way to beat beastcoast, but the team is obviously stronger than bc, considering the results of the last majors. EG managed to take the 5th-6th place at the Lima Major, though if they hadn't made a stupid mistake, they could have got higher. Nevertheless, the result is still decent. The Dreamleague Season 19 was slightly worse, ending up in 7th place. At the Berlin Major, they managed to climb up to 4th place, which is a very strong achievement.
The Gaimin Gladiators are the 1st team in the world rankings. They finish the first round of the DPC in 2nd place, before Team Liquid. In the Lima Major they finished in the 1st place, convincingly beating Liquid in the Grand Final 3:0, though at that moment TL had a substitute. By the same token, in the second round of the DPC GG they yield the leading position to Liquid, incidentally letting Tundra pass before them as well. 3rd place. A similar situation by the previous Major overtook us at the Dreamleague, where in a hard-fought Grand Final GG beat Liquid 3-2. At the Berlin Major the same situation awaited us. Liquid GG Grandfinal, from which GG emerge victorious. DPC had a rest in the 3rd round, but that didn't stop them from taking the 2nd place by the end of it.
After GG game with Aster I won't get carried away with anything in the tournament, so in this match it may make sense to take EG handicap.
I'm a prognosticator, that's all I live for. I dedicate all my time to it. No other interests.
I've been doing this for a long time and I've had some success. Believe it or not, it's up to everyone. But why not give it a try? Maybe you like this life too!
Prediction: Handicap +1.5 EG!
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Bookmakers & Statistics
Gaimin Gladiators er oppført som favorittene til kampen hos de fleste bookmakere, og oddsen på dem er lik 1.262. Evil Geniuses er på sin side kampens outsidere. Oddsen på seier er omtrent 4.568.
Hvordan lagene spilte i de siste kampene
Siste kamper | Gaimin Gladiators | Evil Geniuses |
5 kamper (seire) | 1 | [bortevinnerrate_5] |
10 kamper (seire) | 4 | 7 |
Det vil også være nødvendig å nevne historien om ansikt til ansikt møter mellom motstanderne. Konkurrentene har holdt 5 kamper. I disse kampene fikk Gaimin Gladiators 1 seire mens Evil Geniuses klarte å ta 2 kamper.