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We continue to keep an eye on what's happening at the South America Qualifier. Back to the top set of play-offs qualifiers for The International, the last hurdle before the most important event of the year - TI 12 itself in Seattle this October.
South America will play host to 2 spots at The International in October this year. Now we're talking about the second round of the top qualification grid, where Thunder Awaken and Keyd Stars will meet in the match for the top 3.
The winner of this match should qualify for The International. To do so, they need to win here and in the next match. Closer to that is Thunder Awaken, and it seems unlikely that anything out of the ordinary will happen in this match.
Nevertheless, we will see which team will be stronger in the fight for the top 3 and will significantly strengthen their chances to get to The International 2023, and who will have to go to the lower grid, where there will be no chance for failure.
Let's go.
Thunder Awaken Form
We open the match analysis with an analysis of Thunder Awaken's match form. In this match, the first favourite to qualify for The International 2023 will play as favourites with odds to win at around 1.25.
To deny the advantage is foolish. The Thunder have been pretty good as the season has progressed and have started qualifying well, giving no reason for doubt so far.
In the Thunder Awaken's first season, the Thunder played worse than expected. Then the club took only 3 maps out of 7, which did not allow them to rise above the top 5.
However, in the case of Thunder Awaken this result is not bad. The team kept their place in the top division, which is already great.
Further, they improved their performance. In the second cycle of DPC 2023: SA Upper Division, Thunder Awaken climbed to the third line, Ledge only to the main competitors for the victory in general - beastcoast and Evil Geniuses. Basically, they are now close to repeating the result.
- Thunder Awaken roster:Knight, SLATEM$, ILICH, n1ght, Mjz .
In addition to the DPC ranking ecosystem, the team has played outside of its format, but local tournaments in the 1XPLORE LATAM series, where they won twice, but the main focus is still on the league.
At DPC 2023: SA Division 1 Tour 3 Thunder Awaken Thunder Awaken made it to the top 3, which, however, was not enough to advance to Bali Major 2023.
After the third round, DPC won 1XPLORE LATAM #4, EPL World Series: America Season 5, and Phygital Gamers 2023 Season 2.
Thunder Awaken's opening match was against Balrogs. The warm-up was a success as Thunder Awaken shut out Balrogs with a score of 2-0.
Thunder Awaken's most popular characters
The most frequent guest in Thunder Awaken's picks is Crystal Maiden. The character has appeared 15 times, while having a winrate of 60%.
In addition to CM honours Dawnbreaker (11 games, 81% win rate), Zeus (9 matches, 44% win rate), Marci (9 matches, 33% win rate), Nyx Assassin (8 matches, 62% win rate).
Keyd Stars uniforms
We continue the match analysis with the Keyd Stars form analysis. In this match they are playing as the number two with the odds of winning at around 3.5.
To be fair, such odds look pretty good for a match where someone is playing against Thunder Awaken. They achieved this thanks to a good performance during the season and a debut at the qualification.
The season for the Brazilians from Keyd Stars started with an appearance at the DPC SA 2023 Tour 1: Division 1, where Keyd Stars made it to the Top 4, Ledgeivating Thunder, Beastcoast and EG in the standings.
Next up was a series of localised commercial events, where Fallen Cup Season 2 is worth noting. Keyd Stars managed to take the cup in a struggle, defeating No Runes in the grand finals.
Later there was an appearance at the DPC SA 2023 Tour 2: Division 1, where Keyd Stars, after a top 4 finish in the first round, seemed to be in favour, but in the end they couldn't give a fight to the local clubs and were relegated to the second league.
In between the second and third rounds Keyd Stars played at 1XPLORE LATAM, where they took the top 2 twice. Having warmed up on small events Keyd Stars went to play the second division and had success: confident TOP-1 and here they are.
- Keyd Stars line-up: Costabile, 4nalog, fcr, Kingrd, KJ.
At the Long Sogpeg of qualifications Keyd Stars met Mad Kingds. The match ended 2-0 in favour of KS, but the second map was really difficult.
The most popular Keyd Stars characters
The top most picked Keyd Stars characters is headed by Crystal Maiden. The character has appeared in the peak 6 times and has an 83% win rate.
In addition to Crystal Maiden, Disruptor and Underlord are valued, having been peaked 5 times each with an 80% winrate. There was also Skywrath Mage (4 matches, 100% wins), Doom (4 matches, 75% wins), PL, Viper, Slark, Riki appeared 3 times each and has 100% wins.
History of head-to-head meetings Thunder Awaken - Keyd Stars
The teams have played each other at least 5 times during the season. Thunder have won 3 times, while Keyd Stars have taken 2 matches.
Predicted result of the match Thunder Awaken - Keyd Stars
I don't see any obstacles for Thunder Awaken on this qualification. As far as I'm concerned, they should easily run over Keyd Stars and their next opponent in the qualifiers, and there they are already preparing for The International 2023.
Yes, Keyd Stars seem to be able to cling to the matches, as they beat Thunder in the season, but the stakes are higher here, so the victory will go to the more stable team.
Bottom line: 2-0 win for Thunder Awaken.
