Forutsigelse av kamp: Thunder Awaken - Hokori | Dota 2
DPC 2023 Tour 3: SA Division I (Upper)Welcome to EGamersWorld.
We continue our review of the DPC 2023 regular season: SA Upper Division 1 with a betting tee on the Thunder Awaken - Hokori match. The teams will open the penultimate day of matches in South America, which means waiting for a match with an elevated degree of The International heresy.
One of the main reasons for the teams to sweat in this match is the possibility of retaining their place in the first division for next year. Maybe Valve will change the DPC system and it won't matter, but it wouldn't hurt to try before then. All the more reason for the two clubs to do so.
Both teams, by the way, are in the middle of the standings. However, the situation could still change in either direction.
Let's find out how this game will end, who will emerge victorious here and who will make a big difference in their standings.
Thunder Awaken form
We open the betting tip with an analysis of Thunder Awaken's playing form. In this match, they will play as favourites.
However, a clear advantage for Thunder Awaken is not visible. The odds of a Thunder victory are estimated at 1.5.
That's a pretty good representation of where we stand in the standings. Thunder is a strong middleweight, who have already secured a slot for next season. They've always been like that, barring a few excesses.
For example, in the first season Thunder Awaken played worse than expected. The club then took only 3 out of 7, which prevented them from climbing above the top 5.
However, in the case of Thunder Awaken this result is not a bad one. The team kept their place in the top division, which is already excellent.
Further, they have improved their performance. In the second round of DPC 2023: SA Upper Division Thunder Awaken climbed to third place, Ledge only to the main rivals to win overall - beastcoast and Evil Geniuses. Basically, they are now close to repeating the result.
- The composition of Thunder Awaken: Knight, SLATEM$, ILICH, n1ght, Mjz.
In addition to the DPC ranking ecosystem, the team played outside its format, but local tournaments in the 1XPLORE LATAM series, where they won twice, but the main focus is still on the league.
At DPC 2023: SA Division 1 Tour 3 Thunder Awaken are in a nice position. They are 4-2 overall with wins over Infamous, Balrogs, Infinity and Mad Kings. The only loss was against EG, which is not surprising.
Third place is in the pocket, and with this being the last match in the tourney, they'll clinch it for themselves.
Thunder Awaken's most popular heroes
The most frequent guest in the Thunder Awaken spades is Crystal Maiden. The character has appeared 15 times with a 60% win rate.
In addition to CM, Dawnbreaker (11 games, 81% wins), Zeus (9 games, 44% wins), Marci (9 games, 33% wins), Nyx Assassin (8 games, 62% wins).
Thunder Awaken play to the best of their ability. Hokori can win, and that in theory could allow them to clinch a re-match with Beastcoast if they lose another series (quite possible, because there's a game against Evil Geniuses ahead).
Hokori's form
We continue with our match-by-match analysis of Hokori's form. In this encounter, the team will play number two.
Once again, the gap between the teams is not gigantic, so there is room for surprises. The odds on Hokori to win are 2.2.
Hokori, if you recall the club's formative years, know how to surprise. It does not quite work out in recent times, but you should not discount them for sure.
Initially, the slot was awarded to Alliance.LATAM. Before the DPC 2023 Alliance.LATAM ceased to exist due to their poor performance, but the league slot was kept and now we have Hokori in Alliance.LATAM.
Hokori themselves are known for their performance at The International 2022. Now they're fighting in the top division, seemingly without much of a future, but with plenty of potential to stay in the top league.
- Hokori's line-up: Lumiere, Alone, Vitaly, Michael, Gardick .
Hokori's roster features competent players regularly appearing in TIR-2 tournaments, and in the DPC ecosystem as well. This is partly reflected in Hokori's performance this season.
Hokori's stats are 3-2 until Long Sogpeg. In fact, they've guaranteed themselves a place in the top division for next season, but they still have 2 games left and in theory, they can claw their way into the top 2.
The most popular Hokori heroes
Among the most popular Hokori heroes are the following four. Undying, Shadow Fiend, Skywrath Mage, Beastmaster with 4 matches and 2 wins each.
Pangolier, Alchemist (3 matches each, 33% wins). Dark Seer (2 matches, 100% wins), Silencer (2 matches, 50% wins), Techies (2 matches, 50% wins).
Let's see if Hokori can jump over their heads and defeat the top 3 team in the region. The chances, I repeat, are there.
History of head-to-head encounters
The teams have played each other 5 times in the history of the clubs. Hokori have never managed to win even once.
Match outcome
Judging by the history of head-to-head encounters. In this match, we expect a win for Thunder Awaken. However, Hokori will not go down without a fight.
I believe in the card taken by Hokori.
Bottom line: Hokori will take the card.
Hokori is the 27th team in the world rankings. In the 1st round, DPC competed under the Alliance.LATAM tag. They managed to get 3rd place, leaving out only the titans of the bc and EG region. Before the 2nd round it was decided to change the player of the 4th position. Thiolicor left the organization, and Elmisho was hired to replace him. It didn't help much, on the contrary. They've only taken 6th position and almost made it into 2nd Division. In the 3rd round, they played under the Hokori tag, with two new players in the 2nd and 4th positions. Alone and Michael play instead of 4nalog and Elmisho.
Thunder Awaken is the 14th ranked team in the world. The first DPC round is not going to be a good one for the team. They finish in 5th place. Into the second round they come with changes in the squad. Alone and Accel are leaving the organization, Slatems and Mjz are taking their places. And the situation changes noticeably. It turns out to be already in 3rd place. Of course the EG and BC titans of the region don't pass, but they beat all the others.
In terms of match statistics, the situation of the teams is very similar. Both EG and BC have lost, but have beaten everyone else. But the TA are much more impressive in terms of the cards watched. Their game is quite well structured. You can see that they have been working on themselves. I expect them to win.
I'm a prognosticator, I live only by it. I spend all my time on it. I have no other interests.
I have been doing it for quite a long time and have had some success in it. Believe it or not, it's up to everyone. But why not give it a try? Maybe you will like this life too!
Prediction: Thunder Awaken wins!
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Bookmakers & Statistics
Alle bookmakere har blitt enige om at Thunder Awaken er favoritten. Dette kan legges merke til fordi oddsen på dem er 1.254. Dette tallet i favør av Hokori beløper seg til 6.79. Henholdsvis de siste er underdogs i den kommende kampen.
Lagstatistikk i de siste kampene
Siste kamper | Thunder Awaken | Hokori |
5 kamper (seire) | 4 | [bortevinnerrate_5] |
10 kamper (seire) | 8 | 4 |
Det vil også være nødvendig å nevne historien om ansikt til ansikt møter mellom motstanderne. Deltakerne i kampen før møtet spilte 8 kamper med hverandre. Og Thunder Awaken vant 7 ganger mens Hokori tilsvarende ble vinneren 1 ganger.