Welcome to DreamLeague S19, a tournament with a prize pool of $1,000,000. We open our series of analyses with a betting contest against TSM and Evil Geniuses, who will play in the first round of the first stage of the tournament.
Before the match analysis, we took a look at the teams' standing on the world stage. We checked the updated ESL rankings, we looked at the performance of the participants in the domestic leagues and now we are ready to start figuring out their way and their specific game in DreamLeague S19.
The prediction will be useful to anyone interested in following what's going on in the biggest commercial tournament outside of the DPC system.
Evil Geniuses game form - the new iteration of 'Evil Geniuses' in South America
We begin our review of the match and DreamLeague S19 itself with an analysis of Evil Geniuses' form. The team will face us in this match-up as the favourites.
This is confirmed by the bookmakers, who put odds of around 2.1 on Evil Geniuses' victory. This can be explained by the general level of Evil Geniuses' performance in the course of the year and in the first Major tournament of the season.
After the club's transfer to South America, Evil Geniuses have been rapidly gaining ground there: The team took second place in the first leg and a similar place in the second leg, which guaranteed them qualification for two Major tournaments of the season. The first such tournament, the Lima Major 2023, saw Evil Geniuses finish in the Top 6, which is a good result for a club that was stagnating before moving to a new region.
These results were achieved thanks to an experienced roster. EG managed to create a mix of Peru's brightest under one roof.
- EG for DreamLeague S19: Pakazs, Chris Luck, Wisper, Matthew, Panda.
In the roster, as we mentioned, assembled perhaps the best representatives of the region, who, however, can not rank in the top 1 of South America, Ledgeaya in the region beastcoast. Nevertheless, this does not prevent them from remaining a top team with a peculiar playstyle.
The most popular Evil Geniuses heroes on DPC 2023: South America Tour II
Most chosen EG heroes: Death Prophet and Undying (7 games and 71% of wins each).
Clockwerk has picked 5 times and won all matches. Riki (80% win rate), Snapfire and Timbersaw (5 games, 60%) have another 5 games each.
South America is stronger than North America in the 2023 season, and the Evil Geniuses themselves have performed much better in the Lima Major 2023, which will allow them to win this match. Agree with the opinion - your bet is EG win for 2.1.
If you're not confident of winning your DreamLeague S19 debut match, check out TSM's form of play. They may surprise you.
TSM's game form is a dark horse on the verge of leaving the club
EG's opponent in their debut match at the tournament is stuput TSM. They will play in underdog status.
Bookmakers do not believe in the team's success, which explains the pre-match situation. The odds on TSM to win are 4.
The estimate is based on TSM's successes for the year. They are so-so.
The team has been best in the North American region twice: winning DPC 2023: NA Tour I and DPC 2023: NA Tour II. However, on the international stage, TSM completely failed, dropping out at the Lima Major 2023 in the group stages.
Another problem for TSM is the club problem. There are rumours online regarding the imminent dissolution of TSM's eSports divisions, which may affect the morale of players motivated to stay in the club.
- TSM line-up for DreamLeague S19: Timado, Bryle, Kasane, Ari, Whitemon
Before the DPC 2023 Long Sogpeg, the team changed two players. The impact of that is hard to assess: it's like winning at home, but given the recent "merits" of North America on the international stage, it's hard to consider these victories as something outstanding.
Speaking of playstyle, there are similarities with Evil Geniuses. Love the aggressive Dota 2, but in terms of heroes the difference is significant.
Most popular TSM heroes
Most chosen heroes are Rubick (9 matches, 77% wins), Tusk (6 matches, 83% wins), Tusk (6 matches, 83% wins), Lycan (5 games, 80% wins), Beastmaster (4 matches, 75% win rate), Disruptor (4 matches, 75% wins).
North American clubs have historically played well in similar conditions, with bo2 matches in the group stages of big money tournaments. This, in combination with a wide pool of characters and the play of the Sammoners will help the team win. Betting on a TSM win for 4 is your choice if you agree with the above factors.
However, Evil Geniuses has a history of face-offs in favour. EG is doing better there.
History of head-to-head confrontations
The teams played each other in the Lima Major 2023. The Evil Geniuses were victorious there - in the group stage with a similar encounter format.
Result of the game
We recommend to take a closer look at the overall level of the teams in the DreamLeague S19 tournament. We see the safest bet as a +1.5 over TSM.
Bottom line: +1.5 on TSM.
