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The summer of esports League of Legends continues. Today, the final event of the year that will determine the Wolrds participants from the "old world" will take place in Europe.
LEC Finals 2023 is the first tournament of its kind. An analogue to the LCK and LPL regional finals, it will make its European debut with matches between the top 6 teams of the three splits. At stake are 3 straight trips to Worlds and a place in the qualifiers - Worlds Qualifying Series.
Opening games of the final event in Europe will be MAD Lions and EXCEL. The format of the meeting is bo5.
Let's see which of the teams will move further up the top grid.
Let's get started.
Form EXCEL Esports
We open the match analysis with the analysis of EXCEL Esports form. In this match the bookmakers are putting EXCEL as the winner of the match, and League of Legends betting sites odds are at 1.6.
It is unexpected to see EXCEL as the favourite. Not so long ago the club was one of the worst in Europe, but now they are a contender to win the match against the top 2 of the winter and the champions of the spring.
EXCEL has had a very difficult season. At LEC Winter 2023, the team completely failed, finishing in the top 10.
The spring split, however, didn't show anything new. EXCEL once again failed the split and once again came in last.
- EXCEL line-up: Odoamne, Peach, Abbedagge, Patrik, LIMIT .
After two crushingly disgusting splits EXCEL changed the forester and the South Korean legionnaire Peach came to place Targamas. The change was good, because there is no other way to explain the miracle-run at LEC Summer 2023.
EXCEL not only finished in the top 3, but also made it to the Grand Final of the split, thus guaranteeing their entry to the LEC Finals. In the finals Ledge or G2 Esports, but there is no shame in it, you have to understand.
The most popular EXCEL Esports champions
EXCEL had some pretty meth characters appearing in the top, but a couple of times they tried to use not the most popular champions of the winter draw. We played KSante (2 matches, 0 wins), Renekton (2 matches, 0 wins), Gwen (1 match, 0 wins) and only Jax came in (1 game, 100% wins).
In the forest, Wukong and Vi peaked twice, both lost their matches. Also the game was lost by Sejuani, and won by Maokai.
In the centre, Syndra, Ahri, Twisted Fate, Akali, Sylas, Taliyah each had a match. Only Twisted Fate won out of the whole list.
Things are more betting tipNNEW on the arrows. Either Varus or Lucian (2 matches each, but only 1 win for Varus), as well as Zeri and Draven (0 wins each with 1 appearance).
On Suprorts there was Nami (0% win games), Jhin, Karma, Yummi, and Nautilus. Karma was the only one to win.
MAD Lions uniform
We continue the match analysis with an analysis of the MAD Lions game form. In this match, the Lions are the number two side with odds to win at around 2.4.
To tell the truth, it's not quite clear where such a figure came from. The MAD Lions are clearly more experienced and efficient than their counterparts, and their failure in the summer split is nothing more than a fluke.
Since 2021, they have been a consistent winner of LEC splits with a slight adjustment for last season's failure. In 2023 the team took 2nd place at LEC Winter 2023 and won LEC Spring 2023, which I would like to pay special attention to.
By the LEC Spring split, it seemed like the MAD Lions were done. "The Lions made up for the tiebreaker in the group stage and barely made it to the group stage. There with fights, sweat and blood they reached the play-offs, where in the first round in a tough Bo5 they defeated their future rival - G2 Esports, but even there the misfortunes did not end: they needed to defeat Vitality (3-1) and make Reverse Sweep against BDS in the grand final.
- MAD Lions line-up: Chasy, Elyoya, Nisqy, Carzzy, Hylissang.
The Lions have a fighting roster, no doubt about it. They have proved it many times in practice, which, however, does not always lead to high performance, first of all on the international stage, but sometimes at home as well.
For example, MSI 2023 and top 8 there, which is good in principle, but the result at LEC Summer 2023 is already sad. At the last LEC Championships, MAD Lions, the reigning Spring Split champions, crashed out at the Top 7 position, which is clearly not level.
Most Popular MAD Lions Champions
Fiora (2 matches, 100% wins) and KSante (2 matches, 50% wins) appeared in the top for MAD Lions more often than others. Renekton (1 game, 100% wins) and Gnar (1 game and that defeat) were also taken.
Sejuani (3 matches, 66% wins) is popular in the forest. Next is Wukong with 2 appearances and 50% wins, and there was also Maokai who won his only match.
On the centre line, Viktor (1-1) and Akali (1-1) have 2 matches each. Azir and Sylas won their matches.
Among shooters Varus appeared most often (3 matches, 66% of wins). Lucian was picked 2 times (1-1) and Sivir was picked once more (1-0).
Thresh (1-1), Lulu (1-1) were picked more often than others. Nami and Ashe, who appeared 1 time each, won their matches.
Head-to-head history
In 4 series in 2023, EXCEL are leading the series. EXCEL have won three times, while MAD Lions have only won at LEC Winter 2023, but that was all bo1.
The predicted result of MAD Lions vs EXCEL Esports at LEC Finals 2023 is as follows
I'm happy for EXCEL and how they have progressed over the season. It really deserves respect, however the result now needs to be consolidated. Not excluding that EXCEL is a one event team, but MAD Lions are proven fighters who stumbled at LEC Summer 2023, it happens.
All in all, I believe MAD Lions will win. I think EXCEL will put up a fight, but the Lions will go through.
Bottom line: MAD Lions win.
