Forutsigelse av kamp: Complexity Gaming - MOUZ | CS2 (CS:GO)
ESL Pro League Season 16The second match of today's gaming day ESL Pro League Season 16 will start soon. The teams will face each other in a confrontation where they will be able to compete for extra points that will make it possible to reach the playoffs. Both teams are performing with a 2-1 result, and some of them will almost secure their way to the playoffs, while others will have 2-2 statistics.
Experts from bookmakers are sure that MOUZ has a much better chance of winning this confrontation, and the probability of a triumph is ~67%. The coefficient, respectively, is 1.40.
I suggest looking at the game form of the teams in order to understand how expectations can correspond to reality and whether it is worth choosing some non-standard market in this case.
Complexity Gaming uniform
JT with his teammates from Complexity Gaming is currently on the 29th place in the list of the best CS:GO rosters according to HLTV. The team is not in the most stable game form, however, it cannot be called frankly bad either. The team performed poorly earlier in BLAST Premier Fall Groups 2022, taking 10-12th place there, but at ESL Pro League Season 16 the team won twice and lost once. The team managed to defeat the strong Astralis, not the strongest HEET, but did not manage to pick up a single map in the fight against Heroic.
The mappool at the roster is rather sad. The team has the highest win rate on Nuke at 60%, which is quite low in itself. On the rest of the maps, the percentage of wins is 50%, 37.5% and 0%. Complexity will not be able to name any frankly strong cards, but the team performs well on Nuke. Considering that the matches are held in the Bo3 format, and Nuke will most likely be banned by their rivals, such circumstances do not play into the hands of Complexity. On the other hand, the team has a 50% win rate on Overpass, Dust 2 and Vertigo, so they can get lucky there.
History of recent meetings Complexity Gaming
ESL Pro League Season 16
- Complexity Gaming 0-2 Heroic
- Complexity Gaming 2-0 HEET
- Complexity Gaming 2-1 Astralis
BLAST Premier Fall Groups 2022
- Complexity Gaming 0-2OG
- Complexity Gaming 3-16 Natus Vincere
- Complexity Gaming 14-16 Team Liquid
- Complexity Gaming 16-9 Natus Vincere
Best Complexity Gaming cards
- Nuke (5 cards) - 60%
- Overpass (8 cards) - 50%
- Dust 2 (2 cards) - 50%
- Vertigo (2 cards) - 50%
- Inferno (8 cards) - 37.5%
- Ancient (3 cards) - 0%
MOUZ uniform
MOUZ look much more attractive in this confrontation than their opponents from Complexity Gaming. The European team is in a good playing shape and is much higher than their next opponents in the HLTV rating. The team was ranked 10th by the editors of the aforementioned portal in their list of the best CS:GO rosters in the world.
If you pay attention to their playing form, the team performed well in the previous event. In the open qualifier for IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR, the team entered the top three, beating four opponents on its way and losing in the fight to only one team.
But at ESL Pro League Season 16, MOUZ show good results so far. At the beginning, frozen and his comrades beat Heroic, after which they lost in the fight against Astralis, and then returned to the game again and won the match against ENCE.
I am very pleased with the team's approach to choosing maps and it is noticeable that the players perform well on Mirage. This card is essentially their main trump card, and if Complexity suddenly allows it to appear in the game, then it will be the easiest 2-0 in favor of MOUZ. In addition, the team showed good results at Dust 2 with Overpass. They have a more difficult relationship with Nuke and Vertigo, while Inferno and Ancient are not worth playing at all.
MOUZ match history
ESL Pro League Season 16
- MOUZ 2-0 ENCE
- MOUZ 0-2 Astralis
- MOUZ 2-0 Heroic
IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe Open Qualifier 1
- MOUZ 16-6 Aurora
- MOUZ 14-16 Sprout
- MOUZ 2-0 Portuguese Family
- MOUZ 16-6 AGO
- MOUZ 16-7 EC Kyiv
Best MOUZ Cards
- Dust 2 (1 card) - 100%
- Mirage (11 cards) - 90.9%
- Overpass (4 cards) - 75%
- Nuke (10 cards) - 50%
- Vertigo (2 cards) - 50%
- Inferno (9 cards) - 44.4%
- Ancient (3 cards) - 33.3%
Conclusion
In this match, my clear favorite is MOUZ. The players are clearly ready for the upcoming confrontation and their set of cards is amazing, unlike the modest map pool of Complexity Gaming representatives. I believe that the odds for MOUZ to win may even be somewhat high, and the probability of their victory is higher than experts from bookmakers think.
In addition, I believe that MOUZ will prevail in the match with a score of 2-0, since the teams are very different in terms of their approach to maps. Complexity can only show a small game with confidence on Nuke, but even there MOUZ has a win rate of 50%, which is only 10% less than their opponents. The difference in game plan will pay off and MOUZ will still be able to win Nuke.
For this reason, it's worth considering betting on Correct Score 2-0 in favor of MOUZ at odds of 2.25. In this case, the profit will be good and the probability of passing is rather big.
Final bet: MOUZ to win with a score of 2-0. Factor: 2.25
Bookmakers & Statistics
Alle bookmakere har blitt enige om at MOUZ er favoritten. Dette kan legges merke til fordi oddsen på dem er 1.223. Dette tallet i favør av Complexity Gaming beløper seg til 5.7. Henholdsvis de siste er underdogs i den kommende kampen.
Hva er suksessene til lagene i de siste kampene
Siste kamper | Complexity Gaming | Mousesports |
5 kamper (seire) | 1 | [bortevinnerrate_5] |
10 kamper (seire) | 1 | 5 |
Statistikken over personlige kamper mellom lag er også viktig for vellykkede spill. Lagene spilte 5 kamper med hverandre tidligere. Og Complexity Gaming vant 2 ganger mens Mousesports tilsvarende ble vinneren 3 ganger.