Forutsigelse av kamp: NaVi - Complexity Gaming | CS2 (CS:GO)
BLAST Premier Fall Final 2023Welcome to EGamersWorld.
The big Counter-Strike 2 event continues with BLAST Premier: Fall Finals 2023. At the top autumn tournament, the play-offs stage begins, where the race for the main prizes, including $425,000 and a trip to the World Finals 2023, is down to the most resilient players.
Among the contenders are NaVi and Complexity. The teams will meet in a single Bo3, where they will determine the participant of the next round of play-offs.
Let's try to figure out which of the teams will be stronger and make it to the next round, and who will have to say goodbye to the prospects of becoming the best team at Autumn Blast.
Let's go.
Complexity Form
Kicking off our match analysis, let's scrutinize Complexity's current form. In this CSGO gambling showdown, the Americans step into the spotlight as favorites, boasting odds of 1.7. The rationale behind this seems clear, considering NaVi's recent roster substitution, while Complexity appears to be hitting their stride.
At top tournaments, including Blast Paris Major 2023, CoL has been on the back foot. The team finished top 21-28 at EPL S17, and at Major e it was top 20.
CoL started playing a little better in the second half of the year. They were already top six at BLAST Premier: Spring Final 2023.
- Complexity's lineup: EliGe, JT, floppy, hallzerk, Grim.
CoL's "newcomer" was EliGE. The North American CSGO legend joined CoL a month ago, but has already managed to become the leader of the team in KDA with 1.10 rating.
Complexity played at IEM Masters Cologne 2023, where they finished early. CoL crashed out at the Long Cogner Play-In, losing to OG and finishing in the top 24.
CoL partially overcame their failure by winning the local Thunderpick World Championship 2023: North America Series #2. They defeated Nouns in the grand finals.
In the first match at the EPL S18 Complexity faced 9INE. The Poles put up a good fight, but couldn't pull out a win - the result was 2-1 in favour of CoL.
In the match to come here Complexity surprised, perhaps, everyone. They ran over Cloud9 with an ice rink, closing the series 2-0 in their favour.
They didn't manage to play long in the play-offs. CoL went straight to the second round of the main stage, but there they lost to Monte with a 1-2 score, finishing in the top-12.
Before the IEM Sydney 2023 Long Convergence, Monte fuelled themselves with a win on American Blast. They defeated Team Liquid 2-0 in the grand final of the qualifier, thus earning themselves a place at the autumn finals.
In the first round of IEM Sydney 2023 CoL played against Monte. Ukrainian club gave a fight, but the forces were enough only for 9 rounds.
Next, the Americans met with the "samurai" from G2 Esports. They gave a fight, but it was not enough: as a result, G2 closed the series with a score of 2-0, giving the Americans a total of 14 rounds.
After the defeat from G2 in the group stage, Complexity seemed to go off the chain: the club started to gain momentum and go head-to-head: first 2-1 against Cloud9, then a confident 2-0 against Monte, and then - play-offs. In the main stage of IEM Sydney 2023 CoL ran over BB Team (2-0) in the first round, and in the semi-finals they avenged their group loss to G2 Esports by knocking M0nesy and company out of the tournament with a 2-0 win.
After a top performance at IEM Sydney 2023, CoL travelled to play Thunderpick World Championship 2023. There the result was more modest - now top 9 with a 1-2 loss to MOUZ.
At BLAST Premier: Fall Finals 2023 Complexity were placed in Group A, where they played two matches. In the first, they outplayed Astralis 2-0, and after Ledge or Vitality (1-2) in the play-offs seeding match.
Complexity's Mappool
Complexity's map roll is pretty sad. The most successful map is Overpass with 5 wins in 9 matches.
They can also play on Nuke, Ancient and Anubis. But they have 33% wins each, with a very poor record of 6 and 3 maps respectively.
NaVi Form
We continue the match analysis with the analysis of Natus Vincere's form. In this match the team will play in the Underpassdog status, and the odds for their victory are at around 1.9.
On Long Season, while still in the previous squad, had a series of good tournaments. In almost every one of them they took high places.
They started with a top 6 at BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2023. Then top-3 at IEM Katowice 2023 and a similar result at ESL Pro League Season 17.
NaVi took BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: European RMR A without any problems and qualified for the Major in Paris. Before the only Major of the season, Natus Vincere took the top 4 at the IEM Masters Rio 2023.
The Paris tournament turned out to be a failure for NaVi. Top-11 is hardly a decent result for a team of Natus Vincere's status.
- NaVi roster: w0nderful, b1t, Aleksib, jL, iM.
Before the Long Conner IEM Cologne NaVi made a global Reshuffle, translating the roster into English. In addition to electroNic, Perfecto and npl who left, jL with Apeks, iM with GamerLegion and Aleksib, who previously played for Ninjas in Pyjamas, joined the team.
With the new lineup, NaVi made their debut at BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023. "Born to Win" managed to earn a place in the autumn finals by finishing in the top 4-6.
At IEM Cologne 2023 Natus Vincere played two matches. First, they lost to MOUZ with a score of 0-2, and then defeated OG in Bo3. At the end of the top championship NaVi reached the top 8, which can be called a good result for the then renewed roster.
Then there were a number of appearances at major events with very good results. NaVi entered the top 8 at Gamers8 and took the top 2 at ESL Pro Legue Season 18.
The key tournament of the season for "yellow-black" can be called IEM Sydney 2023. There NaVi for the first time in a long time played without their main headliner S1mple, whose place was temporarily taken by coach B1ad3. Andrew tried, but NaVi could not jump above the top-12.
At BLAST Premier: Fall Finals 2023, w0nderful made his debut in the "born to win" line-up. And he made a good debut: in the match against C9, young w0nderful became the best player of the team, and the second in the match, shooting a 1.30 rating. However, he alone was not enough and NaVi in the fight Ledgeili (1-2).
In a fight for their tournament life, NaVi met NiP. They managed to win, and confidently: former NaVi academy player Headtr1ck couldn't help his new club in the fight against once colleagues in the organisation. As a result - 2-0 in favour of NaVi.
NaVi Mappool
NaVi's best map for 3 months is Inferno. The team played there 5 times with a winrate of 60 per cent.
On Mirage, Ancient. Nuker, Overpass and Anubis NaVi has 50% wins. On Ancient and Nuke the team played 4 matches each, on the others - 2.
Vertigo does not play.
History of head-to-head meetings between NaVi and Complexity
The last game between the teams was held on BLAST Premier Spring Groups 2023. Then NaVi won with a fight.
Predicted result of NaVi vs Complexity at BLAST Premier Fall Finals 2023.
In this match I expect a beautiful Counter-Strike. The teams look about equal, although I agree with the advantage of CoL. NaVi has a new player factor, and despite the spirited play from w0nderful, teamwork can be a bit of a letdown. Nevertheless, I expect a close game.
Bottom line: total +2.5.